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Theoretische Forschung zur Erdbebenvorhersage und zur Bestimmung von Zonen mit hohem seismischen Potenzial

Description: Das Projekt "Theoretische Forschung zur Erdbebenvorhersage und zur Bestimmung von Zonen mit hohem seismischen Potenzial" wird vom Umweltbundesamt gefördert und von Universität Frankfurt, Institut für Meteorologie und Geophysik durchgeführt. Analysis of mathematical models and the simulation of earthquake occurrence with stochastic processes and statistical methods. Relevance of dynamics and seismicity features for prediction, analysis of specific maps, and possible criteria for space and time predictions from short to long term approaches. Specific methodologies for the complex tectonic setting and diffuse seismicity in and around EC countries (Greece, Italy, Portugal, Azores-Gibraltar, Mediterranean and Adriatic Seas) will be developed. Updating and revisions of earthquake database and extraction of historical and recent information for prediction of space time and magnitude with the interpretation of tectonics of the areas. Study of rupture process of larger earthquakes, moment rates, seismic activity rates and b-values will be made. Critical aspects and limitations of our actual knowledge about earthquake prediction will be analyzed. Preparation of maps of seismicity and seismic gaps for possible large earthquakes in the future will be attempted. The collective behaviour of people and memory of past events, and the sociological response to earthquake occurrence, particularly of destructive earthquakes, will provide new information for earthquake countermeasures.

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SupportProgram

Origin: /Bund/UBA/UFORDAT

Tags: Erdbebenvorhersage ? Meteorologie ? Griechenland ? Italien ? Portugal ? Seismizität ? Plattentektonik ? Seismik ? Tektonik ? Karte ? Geophysik ? Informationssystem ? Mathematisches Modell ? Simulation ? Stochastik ? Studie ? Erdbeben ? Meeresgewässer ? Adriatisches Meer ? Datenbank ? Geowissenschaften ? Katastrophenschutz ? Mittelmmeer ?

Region: Hessen

Bounding box: 9° .. 9° x 50.55° .. 50.55°

License: cc-by-nc-nd/4.0

Language: Deutsch

Organisations

Time ranges: 1994-07-01 - 1996-07-31

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