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North Atlantic Climate: Predictability of the climate in the North Atlantic/European sector related to North Atlantic/Arctic sea surface temperature and sea ice variability and change (NACLIM)

Description: Das Projekt "North Atlantic Climate: Predictability of the climate in the North Atlantic/European sector related to North Atlantic/Arctic sea surface temperature and sea ice variability and change (NACLIM)" wird vom Umweltbundesamt gefördert und von Universität Hamburg, Fakultät für Mathematik, Informatik und Naturwissenschaften, Team 452.1: EU-Projekte durchgeführt. Objective: NACLIM aims at investigating and quantifying the predictability of the climate in the North Atlantic/European sector related to North Atlantic/Arctic sea surface temperature (SST) and sea ice variability and change on seasonal to decadal time scales. SST and sea-ice forcing have a crucial impact on weather and climate in Europe. Rather than running climate forecasts ourselves, we will analyse the multi-model decadal prediction experiments currently performed as part of the fifth Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) and critically assess the quality of predictions of the near-future state of key oceanic and atmospheric quantities relevant to the SST and sea-ice distribution and the related climate. Long-term observations of relevant ocean parameters will be carried out, necessary to assess the forecast skill of the model-based prediction results. We will identify those observations that are key to the quality of the prediction and in turn optimize the present observing system. We will quantify the impact of North Atlantic/European climate change on high trophic levels of the oceanic ecosystem as well as on urban societies.

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SupportProgram

Origin: /Bund/UBA/UFORDAT

Tags: Meerestemperatur ? Hamburg ? Klimaprognose ? Skigebiet ? Brunnen ? Innenstadt ? Klimavariabilität ? Temperatur ? Prognose ? Langzeitbeobachtung ? Meereis ? Modellversuch ? Trophiegrad ? Meeresgewässer ? Verwitterung ? Wirkung ? Maritimes Klima ? Europa ? Nordatlantik ? Klimafolgen ? Klima ? Ökosystem ? Wetter ? Staat ? Kenngröße ? Klimawandel ? BEWERTEN ? EISMEER ? ERGEBNIS ? EXPERIMENT ? FP7-ENVIRONMENT ? GEGENWART ? GEKOPPELT ? JAHRESZEITLICH ? LAENDER ? OBERFLAECHE ? PROJEKT ? Scientific Research ? TEIL ? TROPHISCH ? VERTEILUNG ? VERWANDT ? DAUER ? BETRACHTUNG ?

Region: Hamburg

Bounding box: 9.99302° .. 9.99302° x 53.55073° .. 53.55073°

License: cc-by-nc-nd/4.0

Language: Deutsch

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Time ranges: 2012-11-01 - 2017-01-31

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