Description: Das Projekt "Ueberschwemmungsrisiko: Analyse der Ueberschwemmungshaeufigkeit und Management des oeffentlichen Risikos in einer historischen Perspektive" wird vom Umweltbundesamt gefördert und von Universität Bern, Historisches Institut, Abteilung für Wirtschafts-, Sozial- und Umweltgeschichte durchgeführt. Leading Questions: 1.) How far is it possible to obtain reliable series of severe floods from documentary evidence for the period preceding hydrological measurements back to A.D.1500? 2.) Are there any notable variations in the incidence of such events in Central Europe along a North-South profile from the North Sea to the Alps? 3.) How far were changes in the social representation of floods, in particular the emergence of the 'deforestation paradigm' in the 19th century and the justification of reforestation programs with protection against floods promoted by the frequency and/of the severity of these events? 4.) How was risk management shaped by the actions of political representatives and the lobbying by interest groups representing professionals (foresters, civil engineers)? 5.) Is it possible to reconstruct monthly surface air pressure, temperature and precipitation fields for the preindustrial period back to A.D.1500 over the eastern North Atlantic and Europe and how are periods of high frequency and sparsity of severe floods to them? 6.) Is it possible to estimate the North Atlantic Oscillation Index (NAOI) for the preindustrial period back to A.D. 1500 and how are the reconstructed monthly air pressure, temperature and precipitation fields (5) related to? Abstract: 1.) Reconstruction of monthly mean sea level pressure, temperature and precipitation fields over the Europe back to A.D. 1500 based on objective statistical methods such as Canonical Correlation Analysis and multivariate regression. 2.) Reconstruction of North Atlantic Oscillation Index (NAOI) back to A.D. 1500. 3.) The dynamical background as well as the important keys which led to interannual and interdecadal climate fluctuations over Europe in relation with severe floods frequency for the last 500 years will be investigated. Investigation of the relationship between sea-level, temperature and rainfall with flood frequency in Central Europe (from the Alps to the North Sea). 4.) Spatial and temporal behaviour of extreme hydrological events (floods) in relation to meteorological causes based on objective statistical methods. 5.) Reconstructing the international and national debate on the so called 'deforestation paradigm' which established a causal link between 'deforestation' in mountainous areas and the occurence of severe floods. 6.) Public Environmental Risk Management in the Historical Past and relation to flood frequency.
Types:
SupportProgram
Origin: /Bund/UBA/UFORDAT
Tags: Entwaldung ? Luftdruck ? Hochfrequente Felder ? Hochwasser ? Überschwemmung ? Klimavariabilität ? Korrelationsanalyse ? Mitteleuropa ? Monatsdurchschnittstemperatur ? Wiederaufforstung ? Hochwasserschutz ? Interessenverband ? Meeresspiegel ? Messdaten ? Risikoanalyse ? Statistische Analyse ? Umweltgefährdung ? Umweltgeschichte ? Erdgeschichte ? Alpen ? Europa ? Nordatlantik ? Hochwasserschutzprogramm ? Hydrologie ? Lobbyismus ? Niederschlag ? Gebirge ? Risikomanagement ? Atlantischer Ozean ? Nordsee ?
License: cc-by-nc-nd/4.0
Language: Deutsch
Time ranges: 1998-04-01 - 2001-03-31
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